Statistical Analyses of Environmental Pressure Surrounding Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

Authored by: Mark E. Johnson , Charles C. Watson

Handbook of Fitting Statistical Distributions with R

Print publication date:  October  2010
Online publication date:  April  2016

Print ISBN: 9781584887119
eBook ISBN: 9781584887126
Adobe ISBN:

10.1201/b10159-41

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Abstract

Johnson and Watson (2007) addressed many issues in fitting statistical distributions arising in hurricane catastrophe modeling, including data quality in support of estimating key modeling parameters. One of these parameters is environmental pressure, which is commonly presumed and set to be the standard sea level pressure of 1013 millibars. A detailed statistical analysis of the historical Atlantic record suggests that this value is too high and thereby introduces potential distortions in parametric functions and biases in hurricane catastrophe models that incorporate far-field pressure.

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